The number of sales being agreed is up by 27% year on year, a “strong rebound” compared with last year’s more subdued market as pent-up buyer demand is released, according to Rightmove’s recent House Price Index.
The number of potential buyers contacting agents is also up by 15% compared with this time last year. Buyer choice has been improving, and the average number of available homes for sale per estate agency branch is at its highest since 2014, at 33 homes. This has come from a 14% increase in new properties coming to the market for sale compared with last year, but there still isn’t a glut of homes for sale, as this figure is only up by 3% when compared with the more normal pre-pandemic 2019 market. Nathan Emerson, CEO of Propertymark said:
“It is positive news to see further uplift across the housing market now affordability has more confidently swung in the direction of consumers. Inflation figures due out on Wednesday will prove to be a key influence on the next interest rate decision which will happen on the following day.
Propertymark remains keen to see further dips in base rate as conditions permit, but at this point it is important to consider what effect the budget at the end of next month may have on the housing market and if today’s figures reflect a keenness by consumers to complete on a property before any potential changes to the current tax structure might be announced.”
Despite these figures, there are signs that the market is still “cautious and price-sensitive”. The average property is still taking 60 days to find a buyer, which is three days longer than at this time last year even with better market conditions. This suggests that value-conscious buyers are taking their time to find the right home at the right price, leading to a two-speed market.
Rightmove’s weekly mortgage tracker shows that the average 5-year fixed rate is now 4.67%. While this is lower than the peak of 6.11% in July 2023, it is still nearly double the 2.34% of this time three years ago, before the first of 14 consecutive Bank Rate rises.
Rightmove’s real-time data suggests that some sectors are already reacting to the widely mooted increase in capital gains tax, with a record proportion of former rental homes currently on the market for sale – suggesting more landlords are selling up. Tim Bannister Rightmove’s Director of Property Science, said:
“Early autumn movers who are acting quickly and taking advantage of the improved market conditions are getting the pick of quality homes for sale. Home-owners who are thinking of coming to market soon shouldn’t let the increased activity make them over-optimistic and must price competitively to sell. With affordability still very stretched for many, choosy buyers are taking their time to browse the increased number of homes for sale and find the perfect home at the right price. There are question marks over how the market will be affected by announcements in the Autumn Statement, but until then we expect that market momentum will continue as the autumn action rolls on.”
